Sunday, May 26, 2019

May 26—Back on Course, 280 nmi to go, another challenge on the horizon.


Background: Notes here on our Google Earth tracking of Jacob Adoram
                                 Index of Google Earth overlays.  Download the KLM file.


We are updating frequently now, so best to download the KML file and update your Google Earth.

With such great progress under the belt now, it is easy to forget that any ocean voyage is not complete until the boat is tied up at the dock.  All looks great for the moment, but there is a forecast for strong winds right at the finish line, about 8 or 9 days out now, which i am sure Jacob is thinking about already. The forecast might not pan out; this is a change 5 days out, so that would not be a surprise, but this is a classic case of spotting something early, and then watching it at every forecast until decision time arrives.  

On present schedule he would turn north on Wed 30th UTC, then the wind starts to build on Thursday or Friday. Here is the meteogram from LuckGrib.


We will watch this forecast every 6 hr going forward. We are using the FV3 GFS model, which will become the official US GFS model on June 12.  After that, there will not be two models, just GFS.

We note in the video below that the ASCAT data is gone missing. Something is wrong. We can see the data at KNMI, but not at the OSWT site that we rely on.

Here is a video discussion with nautical charts...







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