Thursday, March 7, 2019

Mar 7 — Approaching Milestone 1,600 nmi to go.

As I write, Jacob is 35 nmi off of the 1600 mile yellow range ring.


As preferred, not much happening for the moment or next few days.

Updated both current models just now.  He is making good an excellent 60+ nmi/day = 2.5 kts, so i think the RTOFS must be right showing current with him.


Could be even the green (over 1.0 kts at the dark green line) shown above him is down on him. The OSCAR shows current against him.




Recall that severe squalls will call for reflectivity of over 30 to 40 dBZ, so  these are not on the horizon.

Waiting to hear back on last forecast that did have strong squalls slipping down from the NW.


Also as mentioned somewhere, i will come back to explain why it appears that the pressure stops its semidiurnal oscillation on tuesday. This is an artificial effect of getting pressure reports less frequently.



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