Thursday, January 31, 2019

Index of data overlays in the Google Earth Display

On our main KML file (JACOB-DATA.kml) we have the following data sets. As we add more we will note them here.  If you do not see all of these in the Google Earth display, then update the KML file listed above.  If you have not tried this yet, just download this file and drag it to Google Earth.

Clouds
This is essentially the full GOES West image.  This updates every 6h or so.  It is the file we call P3 in our Satellite Image Briefing.

Ocean Currents
RTOFS is an ocean model. This model is run every day and extends out 5 days.
OSCAR is a more direct measure of ocean currents but is a sliding 10 day average updated every 5 days.  See starpath.com/currents.  We will be updating these two current sources manually every few days, most likely with another post and video as this is part  of the trip we are most interested in.

BOM winds
This is a graphic image of model forecasts from Bureau of Meteorology in AU. It is most likely the GFS model, but we have not tested that yet. This updates automatically.  These winds are updated every 6 hr.  The region shown is what the BOM calls the South West Pacific. We can compare this forecast with the actual winds we see in the ASCAT satellite data. There are other BOM products over this region we can look at later on.  We have here analysis, 24h, 48h, 72h, and 96h.

Jacob Refresh
This is his hourly position report, which updates every hour. The 18th hour is marked in red so we can note the 24-hr runs.  These should update automatically.  The positions we show are a sliding average of the past 3 positions shown on the official jacobadoram.com web site's tracking page.

ASCAT
These are the scatterometer wind measurements. The satellite circles the earth every 101 minutes, up one side (ascending) and down the other side (descending).  Unfortunately, there is a broad nadir gap of missing data just below the path of the satellite, so on some passes we do not see new data.  To determine the valid time, look at the small purple number at the bottom of the pass, and compare it to the data set time at the top of the page.  If the pass time is less than the dataset time, then pass date is same as the dataset date, else it is the day before.

Pilot Chart Countercurrent boundaries
This is now old data as he is past this current band. These are discussed in our countercurrent article.

HI-Cairns track
This is the rhumb line route from Hi to Cairns. It servers as a general reference line on the passage. It is safest to stay east of that line at all times.  We will add other course markers and progress guidelines later on.

400-nmi Range Rings Centered on Cairns
These can be turned on and off. They are a way to mark progress. Also truth meters, in that any track parallel to one of these lines is not getting any closer to Cairns.

HFO Wind and Waves
These are the Hawaii Forecast Office wind and waves products, which include the 00z and 12 analysis of actual conditions, along with 24h, 48h and 72h forecasts.

NWS surface forecast maps
These show isobars and fronts for 24h, 48h, and 72h. Ideally, these remain boring, with mostly open white space.

Wave Heights, directions,  and Periods
This is data from BOM. It is for the combined seas.  You can look at periods above 8 or 9 seconds as likely to be swells, and lower periods to be wind waves.

Climatic wind data from GOGOW
This is the best source of climatic global winds for sailors.




Sunday, January 27, 2019

Tracking Jacob Adoram

Jacob Adoram is rowing his custom vessel Emerson from Neah Bay, WA non-stop to Cairns, AU. He departed July 7, 2018 and now (Jan 26, 2019) is located about 1,100 nmi SW of HI making good about 40 nmi a day, with Cairns about 3,000 nmi to his SW.  He has good navigation and weather resources onboard as well as good satcom connections. His position is being posted online, updated hourly at his Where's Jacob? link at jacobadoram.com. A segment of that display is shown below.



Figure. 1 Display of Emerson's position from his PredictWind tracking display, with a model wind and pressure forecast.

That report is being executed via a PredictWind app (PW) in an iPad connected to an Iridium Go (GO) satcom transceiver with wireless router. The GPS position is being transmitted automatically from the GO every hour to a PW website that is linked to from Jacob's webpage. These positions are updated at 43 min after each hour and labeled with that time, but the actual position shown is from an earlier time, most likely near the whole hour.

The course indicated for the vessel is the direction from the previous position to the latest position, and the speed shown is the distance between these two points divided by one hour.  Unfortunately, both of these (CMG and SMG) are not correct.  The actual vessel track does not zig-zag around as much as shown in this plot. The track errors are the result of GPS position errors, which we have traced to an unusual situation in this equipment.

To get best satcom reception, GO units usually employ and external antenna so the actual unit can remain safely below decks. This greatly improves the satcom signals, but unfortunately the GPS antenna used for the position reports is not in that external antenna; it is in the stubby antenna right on the GO box, which is below decks, under a large layer of solar cells that block the GPS signals. Consequently, the GPS in the GO is only seeing a slice of the horizon, which is changing frequently as the boat responds to the waves with roll and pitch and yaw. In short, the fixes have poor accuracy and since they are so close together (on average about 1.5 nmi), the range and bearing between them have even larger errors.

To compensate for this on some level, we have tapped into these position reports to make our own tracking system and in our presentation we make a sliding average over the past 3 hr. So the position you see in our report at say 1200 is the average of what was reported at 1200, 1100, and 1000. This gives us a better measure of his actual progress, meaning course and speed made good. We also show one position each hour and mark the one nearest to 00z in red. Thus the distance between successive red markers is his 24 hr progress.  Below is a sample, then we explain how to get the full data set to view in Google Earth.


Figure 2. Jacob track viewed Google Earth. Individual points added each hour are a sliding 3-hr average. Red positions are near 00z, about 24 hr apart. A cursor roll over shows time and date

We have compiled these positions into a KML file that can be viewed on Google Earth (GE), along with other features that help followers monitor his progress and the environment he is traversing.


Figure 3. The black marks are hourly positions; red line is the rhumb line HI to Cairns; white lines mark the north and south limites of the countercurrent in Jan according to the Pilot Chart; green is the same limits for February.

He is just emerging from the region of the predicted countercurrent flowing to the east, and we are trying to figure out now if the bend of his course to the east is a result of such a current.  More on this shortly.  See our note on the countercurrent.  The ocean current model (RTOFS) do not show such a drift, and the OSCAR model which was a promising way to look at this, unfortunately packed it up for the government shut down just at the wrong time for us.

We also overlay the ASCAT satellite winds. A sample is below. We typically get good data at least once a day but sometimes the active path misses the boat.


Figure 4. Ascending pass of ASCAT-A at 2123z on Jan 26. 

We will explain the above data and others that are included in a forthcoming video. Watch this article for an announcement.

This is not at all in final form, but you can download the KML file and start to use it from


With GE installed on your computer you can download the file, then click again to install the data into GE. It is not yet clear if this will work best saved to your places and then updating the individual parts, or just don't save when you close, and download it again when needed.

We have to see  how this interacts with the online version of GE compared to the stand alone programs.

Below is a video outlining several of the KML overlays.


Later we will add videos with more details on the specific data sets and navigational matters.

For now, please post questions in the comments and we will try to help.  In principle most functions work.  We are doing the RTOFS forecasts manually using LuckGrib, which we will update every few days till we figure a way to automate it, and the OSCAR currents are still on government leave. I hope they get back online sometime soon.  They are a 10 day average, so we might have to wait 10 days, even if they are back to work. We will also later add an index to the various data options included in the KML.